# Statistically Fine
You'll be fine. We have the receipts.
Methodology: https://statisticallyfine.com/methodology/

## The headline stat
99.999993% chance of a safe boarding — 1 passenger death per 13,700,000 boardings, worldwide, 2018-2022. Not per flight, not per accident.
Source: MIT / ARNOLD BARNETT, 2024 — https://news.mit.edu/2024/study-flying-keeps-getting-safer-0807
Full explainer: https://statisticallyfine.com/one-in-13-7-million/

## Aircraft (Boeing StatSum, 57th ed. — hull-loss / with-fatalities rate per million departures)
- 767: 0.55 / 0.13
- 777: 0.36 / 0.12
- 787: 0.00 / 0.00 — Boeing excludes Air India 171 — a 787-8 that crashed in June 2025, killing 241 of the 242 aboard and 19 on the ground — because ICAO had not yet classified it. The rate below does not contain that crash.
- A350: 0.46 / 0.46
- A320/321/319 NEO: 0.04 / 0.04
- A330 NEO: 0.00 / 0.00 — No A330neo hull loss appears in Boeing’s table. That is an absence of record over a short service life, not a guarantee.
- A380: 0.00 / 0.00 — No A380 hull loss appears in Boeing’s table. That is an absence of record, not a guarantee.
- 747-8: 0.00 / 0.00 — Boeing flags the 747-8 as having accumulated fewer than one million departures. A 0.00 rate over thin exposure is weak evidence, not strong evidence.
Full citation: Boeing, Statistical Summary of Commercial Jet Airplane Accidents, Worldwide Operations 1959–2025 (57th ed.) — https://www.boeing.com/content/dam/boeing/v2/safety/statsum.pdf

## Aircraft type pages (9 — one per airframe, hull losses / crash rate / safety record)
- Airbus A350-900: https://statisticallyfine.com/aircraft/a350-900/
- Airbus A350-1000: https://statisticallyfine.com/aircraft/a350-1000/
- Boeing 787-9: https://statisticallyfine.com/aircraft/787-9/
- Airbus A320neo: https://statisticallyfine.com/aircraft/a320neo/
- Airbus A330-900: https://statisticallyfine.com/aircraft/a330-900/
- Airbus A380-800: https://statisticallyfine.com/aircraft/a380-800/
- Boeing 747-8: https://statisticallyfine.com/aircraft/747-8/
- Boeing 777-300ER: https://statisticallyfine.com/aircraft/777-300er/
- Boeing 767-300: https://statisticallyfine.com/aircraft/767-300/

## Airlines (last fatal accident year, source)
- Qantas: 1951 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Hawaiian Airlines: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- All Nippon Airways: 1971 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- EVA Air: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- British Airways: 1976 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Qatar Airways: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Emirates: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Cathay Pacific: 1972 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Etihad Airways: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Lufthansa: 1993 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- KLM: 1977 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Air New Zealand: 1979 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Finnair: 1963 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Japan Airlines: 1985 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Delta Air Lines: 1996 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Southwest Airlines: 2018 — NTSB / ASN — Flight 1380 (2018)
- Singapore Airlines: 2024 — Singapore TSIB — SQ321 severe turbulence (2024)
- Swiss: 2024 — ASN / SUST — LX1885 (2024)
- Alaska Airlines: 2000 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Turkish Airlines: 2009 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Iberia: 1985 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Aer Lingus: 1968 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Korean Air: 1997 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Virgin Australia: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- American Airlines: 2001 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled) — mainline; see note
- United Airlines: 1991 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- JetBlue: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- WestJet: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Air Canada: 1983 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled) — mainline; see note
- Air France: 2009 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- SAS Scandinavian Airlines: 2001 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Austrian Airlines: 1960 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- TAP Air Portugal: 1977 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Aegean Airlines: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Icelandair: 1978 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- easyJet: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Ryanair: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Wizz Air: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Jet2: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- IndiGo: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Air India: 2025 — ASN — AI171, Ahmedabad (2025)
- Thai Airways: 1998 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Vietnam Airlines: 1997 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- China Airlines: 2002 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Air China: 2002 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- China Southern: 1997 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Hainan Airlines: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Xiamen Airlines: none on record — ASN — no fatal accident; see note
- Saudia: 1996 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Oman Air: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Royal Air Maroc: 1994 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Ethiopian Airlines: 2019 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Kenya Airways: 2007 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- EL AL: 1992 — ASN (compiled) — see note
- Copa Airlines: 1992 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- LATAM Airlines: 2007 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Avianca: 1990 — Aviation Safety Network (compiled)
- Azul: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Fiji Airways: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record
- Air Astana: none on record — Aviation Safety Network — no fatal accident on record

## Airport safety records (502 US airports, NTSB/FAA-sourced, 2008-2025)
502 US airports carry a sourced NTSB accident record for 2008-2025. 307 of them also carry an FAA ATADS movements denominator across the full period, so those pages print an accident rate per million departures. The other 195 print the sourced accident/fatal-accident count and state plainly why no rate follows it — a full-period accident count over a partial-period denominator would be a fabricated rate, and this site does not print those.
Sources: NTSB Aviation Accident Database (avall.mdb) — https://data.ntsb.gov/avdata; FAA Air Traffic Activity System (ATADS/OPSNET), Airport Operations Standard Report — https://www.aspm.faa.gov/opsnet/sys/Airport.asp
Directory: https://statisticallyfine.com/airports/
Canadian and all other non-US airport pages on this site carry no per-airport safety record — worldwide boarding figure and runway trivia only — and are not indexed.

## Odds — ISAF comparison set (lifetime odds vs the 1-in-13.7M boarding risk)
- Heart disease kills you: 1 in 5 (2,740,000× more likely)
- Cancer kills you: 1 in 7 (1,960,000× more likely)
- A stroke kills you: 1 in 24 (571,000× more likely)
- A hospital infection kills you: 1 in 38 (361,000× more likely)
- The flu kills you: 1 in 63 (217,000× more likely)
- You die in a car crash: 1 in 84 (163,000× more likely)
- You are poisoned by accident: 1 in 193 (71,000× more likely)
- You die from a fall: 1 in 218 (62,800× more likely)
- You drown: 1 in 1,134 (12,100× more likely)
- A bike ride kills you: 1 in 4,919 (2,790× more likely)
- You freeze to death: 1 in 6,045 (2,270× more likely)
- The sun kills you: 1 in 13,729 (998× more likely)
- You're killed by lightning: 1 in 79,746 (172× more likely)
- A train crash kills you: 1 in 156,169 (88× more likely)
- Fireworks kill you: 1 in 340,733 (40× more likely)
- A shark kills you: 1 in 4,332,817 (3× more likely)
Source: International Shark Attack File (NSC + CDC data, 2021 US population) — https://www.floridamuseum.ufl.edu/shark-attacks/odds/compare-risk/death/

## Odds — National Safety Council, 2021 (US), kept separate — different compilation, different numbers
- Heart disease: 1 in 6 (2,280,000× more likely)
- Cancer: 1 in 7 (1,960,000× more likely)
- COVID-19: 1 in 10 (1,370,000× more likely)
- All preventable causes of death: 1 in 19 (721,000× more likely)
- Chronic lower respiratory disease: 1 in 31 (442,000× more likely)
- Opioid overdose (accidental): 1 in 58 (236,000× more likely)
- Guns (all intents): 1 in 89 (154,000× more likely)
- Motor-vehicle crash: 1 in 93 (147,000× more likely)
- Fall: 1 in 98 (140,000× more likely)
- Gun assault: 1 in 208 (65,900× more likely)
- Pedestrian incident: 1 in 485 (28,200× more likely)
- Motorcyclist: 1 in 747 (18,300× more likely)
- Drowning: 1 in 1,006 (13,600× more likely)
- Fire or smoke: 1 in 1,287 (10,600× more likely)
- Choking on food: 1 in 2,659 (5,150× more likely)
- Bicyclist: 1 in 3,546 (3,860× more likely)
- Sunstroke: 1 in 4,655 (2,940× more likely)
- Accidental gun discharge: 1 in 7,944 (1,720× more likely)
- Electrocution, radiation, extreme temperatures, and pressure: 1 in 13,176 (1,040× more likely)
- Cataclysmic storm: 1 in 20,098 (682× more likely)
- Sharp objects: 1 in 25,960 (528× more likely)
- Hot surfaces and substances: 1 in 45,908 (298× more likely)
- Dog attack: 1 in 53,843 (254× more likely)
- Hornet, wasp, and bee stings: 1 in 54,516 (251× more likely)
- Lightning: Too few deaths in 2021 to calculate odds
- Railway passenger: Too few deaths in 2021 to calculate odds
- Passenger on an airplane: Too few deaths in 2021 to calculate odds
Source: Lifetime odds of death for selected causes, United States, 2021 — https://web.archive.org/web/20240601000000/https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/all-injuries/preventable-death-overview/odds-of-dying/

## Pages
/odds/ /aircraft/ /fears/ /data/ /airports/ /one-in-13-7-million/ /methodology/

## License
Data: CC BY 4.0 (link-back to statisticallyfine.com requested) — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Refreshed: 2026-07-09